Current Top Predictions & Picks

  • Predicted that stock market had seen its lows after it crashed in August 2015

Michael Markowski made his most recent prediction after the Dow had plummeted by 1,089 points, its largest point loss ever on the morning of August 24, 2015. Mr. Markowski informed those who attended his 12:00PM conference call that he believed that based on his research and experience the lows for “the market opening on Monday August 24th would prove to be the lows for the next several years.” In his August 26, 2015, article “Major US Indices will go to all time highs in 2016; Current correction underway will be short lived” he also updated his long termpredictions for the global stock markets, gold, oil and commodities.

Predictions made by Michael Markowski in his August 26, 2015, article:

“… lows that were made by the S&P 500, Dow 30 Industrials and NASDAQ composite indices at the market opening on Monday August 24th would prove to be the lows for the next several years.

“… all of the stock markets of the US and all of the world’s other developed countries will recover fully and hit new annual highs in 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019.

“… stock markets of the emerging countries including the BRIC countries of Brazil, China, India and Russia will remain volatile and will underperform for the rest of the decade.

“Gold will go to new multi-year lows in 2016 and 2017, and to below $1,000 by 2018.”

“The U.S. Dollar will be at parity with the Euro by the end of 2016, and will go to a premium in 2017.”

“The exchange rate of the U.S. Dollar will increase from 124 to 160 Yen, a new 25-year high by 2020.”

“Oil will not get back to $60 per barrel until 2020 at the earliest…”

“Corn, beans and grains will continue in their bear markets until at least 2020 because they are all priced in U.S. Dollars.

In his 2013 articles: “Put a Fork in the Bear” and SEC’s Lifting of 1933 Non-Solicitation Ban Will Lift Markets 100% Higher” , Mr. Markowski made the following predictions:

2013 PredictionsDateStatus as of 8-25-2015
Gold to decline to new annual lows for 5 consecutive years (2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017) Dec 2013 Gold fell to new annual lows in 2013, 2014 & 2015.
Oil to fall from $95 to $50 per barrel in 2014 May 2013 Oil fell to $49 per barrel in December 2014.
S&P 500 to increase to new all-time highs for 5 consecutive years (2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017) Dec 2013 S&P 500 hit new all-time highs in in 2013, 2014 & 2015.
U.S. Dollar to go to multi-year highs versus both the Yen and Euro May 2013 U.S. Dollar rose to new multi-year highs versus both the Yen and Euro in 2014 & 2015
Agricultural commodities to fall to new multi-year lows May 2013 Corn and soybeans, inter alia, declined to new lows in 2013 & 2014.
  • Predicted that the price of gold would continue to decline significantly

Michael Markowski in his May 2013 article, “Put a Fork in the Bear” made long term predictions for the stock market, currencies and the prices of commodities.  He predicted that the price of gold, which was $1,393 at the time, would decline significantly to a new multi-year low.  In December of 2013, after the price of gold had fallen to $1,222; he wrote a follow up article predicting that the price of gold would “decline to consecutive annual new lows from 2013 to 2018”.  By the end of 2013, the price of gold fell to a new four year low. Markowski’s predictions for the other commodities, stock market and currencies have been very accurate.

The prices of corn, soybeans and other crops have been in a steady decline and have fallen to five year lows since Markowski predicted their declines.  The US stock market was near its all time high when he predicted in May of 2013 that it would continue to make new highs.  After the market had traded to multiple new highs during the second half of 2013, and after Markowski had conducted his research on the lifting of the Crowdfunding ban by the SEC; he predicted in a December 2013 article that the that the stock market would go to consecutive new highs for the years 2013 to 2018.  The S&P 500, during the first nine months of 2014, traded to 33 new all-time highs.    Markowski also predicted that the US dollar would go to all time highs against the Euro by the end of 2015 and to 20 year highs versus the Japanese Yen by 2020.  Since he made his prediction, the US dollar has hit a seven year high versus the Yen. The Euro has gone to a two year low against the greenback.  A video, “Crowdfunding’s Impact on the Markets” which includes Markowski’s proprietary research findings that he utilized to make his December 2013 predictions is available and is recommended for viewing.      

Historical Top Predictions & Picks

  • Predicted Lehman’s crash a year before it filed for bankruptcy

Predicted in 2007 and reiterated in early 2008 that a crash was imminent for the USA’s top five Brokers including Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.  At the time of his predictions the shares of the five Brokers were trading near their all time highs.  From their prices when Markowski made his September 2007 prediction, the shares of all five of the Brokers declined by 75% to 99% at November of 2008.

A year before Lehman’s bankruptcy filing became the catalyst to cause the biggest stock market crash since 1929, Markowski wrote a September 2007 Equities Magazine article, “Have Wall Street’s Brokers Been Pigging Out?”  In his article he advised his readers to sell all of their holdings in Lehman Brothers ($86.18), Bear Stearns ($121.12), Merrill Lynch ($78.17), Goldman Sachs ($193.90) and Morgan Stanley ($110.00).   Markowski said that due to the chronic reporting of negative operating cash flow by the five Brokers “a day of reckoning” was coming and that it would “be ugly for the five largest Brokers”.  

By the end of 2007, the share prices of four of the five Brokers had fallen by 6% to 31.5% and the price of Goldman’s shares had increased as compared to their prices at September 2007.  Markowski wrote a January 2008 follow up article entitled “Brokerages and the Sub-Prime Crash” advising his readers as two why they should continue to “avoid Goldman’s and the other four Brokers’ shares for at least the next several quarters”.   

After Lehman had filed for bankruptcy and the share prices of Merrill Lynch and Bear Stearns had fallen by 78.18% and 91.74% respectively, Markowski wrote yet again about the Brokers.   In his October 2008 follow up article, “The Carnage for Financials Isn’t Over”,  he advised readers to sell their holdings in the two surviving brokers, Goldman Sachs at $135.50 and Morgan Stanley shares at $32.19.  One month later in November of 2008, the price of Goldman’s shares fell by 60% to a new all-time low of $48.50 and Morgan Stanley’s shares fell by more than 70% to a new all-time low of $8.62.  


  • Stock Pick provided to Fortune Magazine appreciated 200%

Michael Markowski was named as one of Fortune Magazine’s top 50 investors in an article, “Top Picks from 50 Great Investors”, that appeared in its 2004 Investor Guide issue.  Each of the 50 who were named provided Fortune with their favorite stock pick.  The web conferencing company, Webex, which was Markowski’s pick was subsequently acquired by Cisco Systems for a 200% gain.  Michael Markowski has competed in numerous stock picking contests sponsored by Magazines.

The data in the table below pertains to the performance of the stock picks that Michael Markowski provided to Fortune and Equities Magazines between 2004 and 2008.  Three of the five picks that Mr. Markowski gave to the magazines between 2004 and 2008 were acquired for cash.  

The table below includes performance data and rankings for Michael Markowski, Mario Gabelli and Larry Rader who were contestants in the Equities Magazine annual stock picking contests between 2005 and 2008.  CNBC’s Jim Cramer only competed against Markowski, Gabelli and Rader in the 2007 Equities Magazine contest.  

Mr. Gabelli, Mr. Rader and Mr. Cramer; who are highlighted in the table above; were the three best known and most formidable contestants which Mr. Markowski competed against in the annual stock picking contests that were held by Equities Magazine.  Mario Gabelli was named Mutual Fund Manager of the year in 1997 and was Wall Street’s highest paid CEO for 2013.  Larry Rader spent 15 years as Merrill Lynch’s Director of its Emerging Growth Stock Group.  Rader became Markowski’s first mentor when he joined Merrill Lynch in 1978, as its emerging growth company analyst a year after Markowski had joined the firm.  

  • Predicted Sear’s Credit Card Receivables Problems

Markowski predicted in 2002 that Sears was having difficulties in collecting its credit card receivables when its shares were trading at $37.59.  Sears’ executives publicly disagreed with Markowski and denied that the company was having credit card receivables collection problems.   Two weeks later Sears announced that its earnings had been negatively impacted due to its credit card receivables problems and its shares plunged to $23.15, a new ten year low.     

  • Predicted bankruptcy of USA’s largest food wholesaler

In 2002 Markowski predicted the bankruptcy of the Fleming Companies, the largest food wholesaler in the US.  When Markowski made his prediction, Fleming’s shares were trading on the NYSE at $5.99 and the company had paid cash dividends for 85 consecutive years.  In April of 2003, which was seven months after Michael Markowski made his prediction, Fleming filed for bankruptcy protection.   

In September of 2002, Michael Markowski, predicted in the OPS Newsletter that the Fleming Companies, the USA’s largest food distributor and food wholesaler with $16 billion in revenue and 23,000 employees would file for bankruptcy.  Markowski’s prediction of Fleming’s eventual bankruptcy was made three months after Morgan Stanley issued a buy recommendation with a price target of $27 for Fleming shares.  The buy recommendation was initiated after Morgan Stanley and Lehman Brothers raised Fleming $150 million of equity capital at a price of $19.40 per share on June 12, 2002.  Two weeks earlier, May 28, 2002, had issued a warning to its subscribers and users to avoid Fleming shares which were at $23.09.  The warning was issued due to Fleming’s having been diagnosed as having The EPS Syndrome, a Financial Statement disease that was discovered by Michael Markowski.